Republican pollster Lee Carter and Democratic pollster Carly Cooperman stated on Friday that independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s endorsement of former President Donald Trump could provide a significant boost to Trump’s campaign.
Kennedy announced in a speech that he would suspend his own campaign and endorse Trump in states where his name is not on the ballot.
He also mentioned that he would withdraw his candidacy in key battleground states to avoid spoiling the vote. During an appearance on “Your World With Neil Cavuto,” both Carter and Cooperman suggested that, in such a tight race, the additional support Trump might gain from Kennedy’s endorsement could enhance his chances of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris.
IT’S HAPPENING!
Nicole Shanahan on Fox News last night, says that she and RFK Jr. might disagree with Trump on some things, but they believe he is “sincere” in his efforts to save this country.
She brings up the idea of a “Unity Party”, and highlights how the Democrat Party… pic.twitter.com/0DL0osF6nP
— Clandestine (@WarClandestine) August 21, 2024
“When you’re looking at these battleground states, we’re looking at averages where Donald Trump might be ahead by 0.2%, and just getting some of those votes could have a really big impact. And I think RFK Jr. knows this,” Carter said. “He was very, very keen to say, ‘I am withdrawing my name from these 10 states because I know it can have an impact.’ And so I think there is a very, very clear directive here.”
Cooperman agreed with Carter’s sentiments while stating that Kenedy’s exit presented an advantage to Donald Trump.
“It’s absolutely the case that the polls in these swing states show that with RFK removed, there is a small advantage that goes to Donald Trump. And in these states, every single vote really does matter. This makes a lot of sense,” Cooperman said. “Democrats are far more enthusiastic about Kamala Harris as their presidential candidate than they were about Joe Biden. And so you’re seeing much more coalescing among Democrats for Kamala, and therefore the support that RFK was getting in the most recent polls was certainly going to help Trump more so with him removed from it.”
Cooperman also remarked that “there is uncertainty” regarding what Kennedy’s supporters might decide to do come November.
RFK JR. IS ABSOLUTELY RIGHT!!!
"When a US president colludes with or outright coerces, media companies to censor political speech. It's an attack on our most sacred right of free expression."
— Graham Allen (@GrahamAllen_1) August 23, 2024
“It’s going to really depend, what are these voters going to do? Are they going to stay home or are they going to throw their support behind Donald Trump? I’m very curious now to see how RFK Jr. is integrated into Donald Trump’s campaign and what kind of role they’re going to talk about for him and how they might use this,” Carter added.
Kennedy’s support dropped to as low as 2% by early August, based on a poll conducted by Economist/YouGov. Meanwhile, Trump is currently leading Harris by a slim margin of 0.1% in key battleground states, according to the RealClearPolitics average.
During Friday’s episode of “Morning Joe,” the panel expressed concern about the challenges Harris faces in defeating Trump, especially given the tight race and Trump’s history of outperforming polls on election day.
“You got to look at states like North Carolina and Arizona and, of course, Georgia. Now, you may get a break with minority voting down in Georgia, but you could also come up short in Pennsylvania and not quite win in North Carolina,” former MSNBC host Chris Matthews said. “This could squeak. This could be the toughest election, because if Pennsylvania doesn’t go the Democratic way and North Carolina doesn’t go that way, it’s tough, it’s really tough.”